What is the most accurate predictor of Step 2 score?

The most accurate predictors for your Step 2 CK score are your performance on NBME Self-Assessments and the UWorld Self-Assessment 2 (UWSA2), with some data suggesting NBME exams are slightly better, though a combination of high-yield practice tests and strong clinical application is key; specialized tools like the AMBOSS Score Predictor use your NBME/UWorld scores to give a data-driven estimate, with some reporting high accuracy.

What is the best predictor of Step 2 score?

UWSA2 and NBMEs are widely regarded as some of the best predictors of Step 2 scores. Medical school performance is the most reliable long-term predictor of Step 2 success. Don't over-rely on UWorld Percentiles – they vary too much based on usage style. Focus instead on performance trends in full length exams.

What score is 75% correct on step 2?

Getting 75% correct on Step 2, especially on practice tests like NBMEs or UWorld, usually translates to a strong score in the mid-to-high 240s or even into the mid-250s, placing you well above average and competitive for many specialties, though top-tier competitive fields might require even higher scores (around 255-270+). A 75th percentile score means you scored better than 75% of test-takers, indicating solid performance and often helping balance a weaker Step 1 or improving residency options. 

Is Amboss score predictor accurate step 2?

How accurate is the score predictor? Research shows that our estimates are within 7-10 points of students' real results. Dive into our report and learn about the data modeling techniques that make it happen!

Do NBMEs underpredict step 2?

Second, note that the Step 2 CK NBMEs likely underpredict one's score. The lower range is 233, only three points below the predicted score. However, the upper bound is 261, 15 points higher than estimated.

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Which NBME is most predictive for Step 2 2025?

NBME CCSSA Forms (Free + Paid): Highly predictive and closest to the actual Step 2 CK score scale. UWorld Self-Assessment 1 (UWSA1): Best taken 4–6 weeks before the exam. UWorld Self-Assessment 2 (UWSA2): The most accurate predictor of real exam performance—many students' real scores fall within 3–5 points.

What score is 50% on step 2?

A 50% score on USMLE Step 2 (CK) usually translates to a score around 250, placing you at the 50th percentile, which is considered an average-to-good score but may be limiting for highly competitive specialties, though it's a passing score and often sufficient for many programs with strong applications. The actual percentile can vary slightly as more people take the test, but a score in the mid-240s to low-250s generally puts you around the 50th percentile. 

What percentile is 270 on Step2?

A USMLE Step 2 CK score of 270 is generally around the 95th to 99th percentile, placing you in the top tier of test-takers, considered exceptional and highly competitive for nearly all residency specialties, including the most demanding fields like Dermatology and Orthopedic Surgery, especially with Step 1 being pass/fail.
 

Which step is the hardest in USMLE?

Step 2 had the highest passing rates for both US/Canadian students (98%) and non-US/Canadian test takers (88%). This data suggests that Step 1 was the hardest exam to pass. No matter which step you are preparing for, the USMLE exams are challenging.

What's a good step 2 score in 2025?

What Is the Average USMLE Step 2 Score Range?

• 230 and below → Passing but below average; limits competitiveness in more selective specialties.
• 240–250 → Solidly within the average range; competitive for many core specialties.
• 255+ → Above average; strong candidate for competitive programs.

Which NBME is hardest step 2?

NBME 9 and 12 are known to be the hardest, maybe not because of true difficulty but , especially for 9, there are some poorly written questions. People tend to score slightly lower on these forms.

What score is 60% correct on step 2?

A 60% correct on USMLE Step 2 CK, which equals a score of around 218 (the new passing score as of July 2025), means you've met the minimum competency requirement, but to be competitive for residency, you generally need a much higher score, with averages often in the mid-240s to 250s, depending on the specialty, with higher scores like 245 (around 37th percentile) or 255 (around 60th percentile) being good targets for competitiveness, as residency programs look for scores well above the passing threshold.
 

Is 70% on UWorld bad?

No, 70% on UWorld is generally considered good to excellent, especially on a first pass, indicating you're well-prepared for exams like the NCLEX or Step exams, though it's crucial to learn from incorrect answers to improve. Most students start lower (50s-60s), so consistently in the 70s means you're in great shape, with scores in the 80s suggesting you'll do very well. Focus on mastering weak areas identified by UWorld rather than just chasing scores. 

Do shelf scores correlate with step 2?

Results. The mean Step 2 CK score among the respondents (n = 213) was 254 ± 13. There was a strong positive correlation between Step 2 CK score and composite shelf scores (rho = 0.80, p < 0.01).

Which is the 3 toughest exam in the world?

The three toughest exams globally often cited for their extreme difficulty, low pass rates, and high stakes are China's Gaokao (National College Entrance Exam) for its sheer scale and competitiveness, India's UPSC Civil Services Exam for its life-altering potential and minuscule selection, and India's IIT-JEE Advanced (Joint Entrance Exam) for its rigorous engineering entrance criteria, alongside prestigious UK fellowships like the All Souls Prize Exam, with difficulty varying by individual and goals. 

What are common Step 2 mistakes?

In this guide, I will discuss common mistakes students make while studying for Step 2 CK and how to avoid them.

• Using too many resources. ...
• Not approaching questions systematically. ...
• Not trusting your gut. ...
• Not preparing for test day conditions. ...
• Not taking care of yourself.

Is USMLE harder than MCAT?

Yes, the USMLE (United States Medical Licensing Examination) is generally considered much harder than the MCAT (Medical College Admission Test) because it tests deeper, more integrated medical knowledge required for physician licensure, whereas the MCAT focuses on foundational science principles for medical school admission, often requiring more critical reading and foundational science application. The USMLE (especially Step 1) demands extensive, in-depth knowledge and clinical reasoning, while the MCAT tests breadth of basic science and critical thinking for entry into med school.
 

What resources help improve Step 2 scores?

12 Best USMLE Step 2 Resources for a 270+ Score in 2025

• Find Your USMLE Step 2 CK Tutor and Boost Your Score. ...
• UWorld – Step 2 CK QBank and Self-Assessments. ...
• NBME – Official Step 2 CK Self-Assessments (CCSSA) ...
• AMBOSS – Step 2 CK Qbank + Medical Library. ...
• OnlineMedEd – Clinical Video Curriculum + Notes + Questions.

What percent correct is a 240 on step 2?

An examinee with a Step 2 CK score of 240 is at the 24th percentile. The 24th percentile means that 24% of the Step 2 CK first-takers from LCME-accredited US/Canadian medical schools in the three-year cohort described previously scored lower than 240.

How is step 2 curved?

Step 2 CK Scoring

Your raw score is converted into a scaled score, which reflects your performance compared to other test-takers. The score distribution follows a bell curve, meaning most students cluster around the average, while fewer students score at the extremes.

What is a good step 2 score in 2025?

A "good" Step 2 CK score percentile depends entirely on your specialty goals and career objectives. For most medical students, a score above the national median of 250 is considered good, while scores above 260 (75th USMLE percentile) are considered very good to excellent.

Is a 60% good on UWorld?

A 60% on UWorld is generally considered decent or borderline, but not bad, especially on the first pass, as UWorld is intentionally difficult and a learning tool, not just a test; the key is consistent improvement, focusing on weak areas, and aiming for higher scores (70%+) on the second pass or on official assessments (NBMEs) to gauge readiness, with scores in the 50s often seen as needing more work and 70s+ as strong. 

Does step 2 score matter for residency?

In a 2024 survey of residency program directors conducted by the National Resident Matching Program, a medical student's Step 2 score—which has taken on increased importance since the Step 1 exam went pass-fail in 2022—was the fourth most frequently considered factor in determining which applicants to interview.